The ACT Government’s Population Projections 2018 – 2058 is only based on one simple method. This is a standard model for estimating births and death of existing residents and migration. The estimates for north Canberra exclude the 37,000 dwellings planned for the Canberra Gateway corridor which will have an extra 111,000 residents in addition to the infill policy of 500 more residents in existing suburbs for another 4,500 residents, a total of 115,500 additional residents. It also does not take into account the babies these extra residents will be having in the next 40 years.
It does not include the 100,000 cars these people will be parking in North Canberra.
The growth of population in north Canberra published in “Population Projections 2018 – 2058”, ACT Government, in 40 years time is 35,787 to a total of 91,597. This is incorrect as it takes no account of new residential development and the infill policy.
This is disappointing and does not support the Chief Minister’s commitment in the introduction to the report that: “The ACT Government is committed to ensuring we keep delivering high quality services and infrastructure as Canberra grows. Accurate population projections underpin this task by ensuring we know when and where these will be needed across our city.”
All ideas on what the NCCC should start doing are appreciated.
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